Using an example of power output v power output in a set situation and blaming the power out put differences as the 'error' and then saying that an Ironman pacing tool such as power is better replaced by RPE is extremely flawed. The part of the equation that caused the difference was your fatigue. Training and racing involves much and this is why we Taper and recover. You would not go out and do n FTP test on day 7 of a 1000km bike week unless you were stupid. You would wait until say day 6 of rest week to do it when fresh. Your fatigue did not allow you to push your numbers. If this was actall a race you would hav rigt there in black and white feedback that your physical state was not up to scratch instead of some very subjective 'feeling'.
To forgt power for second and use similar concept in swimming, lets just say on those two days you did a 6 x 100m all out and graphed the times. I would guarente that on those days you would have suffered similar fade. This is because it is an all out efort. Let us not forget with power for Ironman it is 70% of threshold so not by any means hard.
To pose a question o RPE V Power come race day, just say you did go in fatigued, which would give you the faster time, riding an RPE that is adjusted as per your 'feeling' or busting your arse to ride you goal power zone? The major failure of RPE in my personal experience is that it is far too easy to take the 'easy' option when things get hard as there is no quantifiable effort beyond things like 'moderately hard' or 'easy'. When I am stuffed at the end of an Ironman, moderately hard is actually pretty friggn slow.